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Topic : Sustainable Investment in India 2009
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Analysts says Stock market likely to be volatile in November: What do you say?

Created by : Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays  | 11 02 2009 08:32:01 +0000
Industry : Asset ManagementFunctional Area : India(Markets)
Keywords : stock market november volatile
Activity:  178 views;  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000

Some analysts like Angel Broking's Managing Director Dinesh,Religare Equities' President Amitabh Chowdhary etc are on the stand that the Nifty may see a maximum of 5 per cent downslide and it may go till 4,600. They are predicting volatility in stock market in November. What do you say?



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I think there will be a down fall of stock market in November as the open interest has not come down as compared to the open interest in the beginning of October. This might bring down the stock market this month.
By Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays  11 02 2009 08:32:01 +0000
 
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I don't think ther is any Pnaic situation preavlent now. Markets crash due to panics. This downturn is not even a correction I feel, because the market is way off normal course. May be there some tightening taking place to avoid too much expansion which might lead to inflation and all kinds of tantrums to contain it.

Every economic entity or economic agent who is a citizen basicaly is suposed to adjust his social welfare function based on the markets. So as this process keeps going markets will always go up unless there is a panic. Panics happen rarely, since we had one recently, the anchoring effects makes it look like one again to every one.
By Mathew Cherian, Research Associate/Analyst, Western Michigan University  11 02 2009 18:18:44 +0000
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if people truly believe world markets are integrated, then yes volatility is going to be around. Take a look at VIX chart for US markets and you'll see a spike in volatility for this month.Blame it on quarterly performance.

Quaterly results have been choppy and bottom-line numbers are slightly better due to severe cost cutting measures adopted by most companies...i would take a look at leading economic indicators before saying fundamental are good.

Based on the above trends, I don't think India is immune to global factors. Besides, the year end is approaching and hedge funds and other institutions will look to book profits from their investments in emerging markets.  


By manoj , Freelancer, Freelancer  | 11 03 2009 16:25:55 +0000
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I don't this share market will again fall this month. The downward trend was visible only due to profit-booking at lower levels but this will not effect the stock market much as the market fundamentals are good.
By Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna  | 11 02 2009 11:51:43 +0000
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