The stock market is easier if you got years of experience. If any index or stock is below the montly close and monthly average just sell and if it is above the montly close and montly average just buy. The financial data like results, IP data, inflation has got nothing to do with fall and rise of the stock market. One can observe it. If anyone is confused just let me know. I will demonstrate with actual results. Now watch Nifty at 4710 if it goes below this level and buy if it goes above 4710 buy
Its not wise to invest now as we don't know when the market will go up and how much it will increase/decrease. Will its value go up or will it furthur decline. Everything is unknown. Thus, in these conditions, if the share price goes down, it will be a loss for the customer only....
:) all I can Say is ...... Preapare List of Stocks ... Which u think are fundamentally good & sound Co for Long term ... get in touch with a technical analyst ..ask him for long term weekly support Lvls on charts ....and if u Find your scrips near Those lvls in the Fall Start buying Small Qty ...and Accumalte them ... This is a good idea For Long term
:FOr mEdium term (4-6 Months) the nExt major even Again will be budget ...So look to Pick up stocks which genrally run Before budget ...Likekalindee Rail , BEML , and typical Education Sector Stocks like aptech , Educomp , --- Pharma Stocks ...small ones accumalte these One on Dips ... u could get good returns ...
;) For Short Term --- the Next major Event which can Bring Some cheers Back would be in novemvber end to Dec second week when Genrally Small Caps run ..So look to Pick them on Fall
..Just a Rough Idea given up ...Do get in touch with a Professional or your Broker Who can Help u in proper Way
You can never find the bottom of market. stock market is for good returns and for that you have to take risk. We cant say whether its rite time bt any time is right if you can give it time. who knows like last year it again move to 10k or may even cross 20k it all depend on time n stock which you choose whether a steady one or highly volatile.
Actually there is no right or wrong time to invest. This is only a concept of perception. In my opinion new investors should watch the market at least for one year before start investing. An investor with a long tern target (5 years or more) can invest at any time. He need not to worry about the sensex value-even the CMP of the scrip also not that important. listen to Reni's opinion. One should check the fundamentals and future scope of the company. dont give your ear to TV reports and tips giving by them. Do not run behind the market. You cannot win Mr. Market. Mr.Market is person whose attitudes and behavior may change at any moment. None can predict what is going to happen at the next moment in market. Then why should go for tips? Patience is more important in market than money and intelligence. Many wise people repeat mistakes only because of lack of patience. Do your home work, find the answers for your queries, clarify doubts and fix your buy price and proceed. its ok to listen opinions of others but decision should be yours. Also we can generally say bye when market is down and sell when it is high. But keep it in mind none can buy at the lowest price and sell at highest price. Short term investors and day traders can go for technical analysis rather than fundamental. so i would say any one with a long term target can invest at anytime, there is no wrong time. (go through the principles of warren buffet, peter linch etc before start investing)
One can look at the Industrial output number which is 1o.3% highest in 22 months and sensex moving down is contrarian. I think a panic is the only rason when markets go down quickly and there is no reason for one for the present.
Kanti I am neither agreeing nor disagreeing with you. Mine is an academic question. You are right when you and your group of analysts indicate when the market is likely to go down and when it is likely to lift. Majority is inclined towards this thinking and mostly it is useful. However, if one were to manipulate such a mindset, don't you think investors will be harmed? For instance, if FIIs exploit this mindset and lead all Indian investors (institutional and individual) to believe that the market is either going down or lifting up and at an opportune moment, use such decisions to their advantage, what will be the plight of small people? I really believe that market behaviour can only be one of the factors but prodent investment decision should be company based.
You are right Esha. One need not be bothered about 16000. You will not even know when you have crossed 18000. So go ahead and invest but only after meticulous appraisal. One should try to understand the company than the ratio it presents before investing
It will be wise to invest now. As the sensex is very low, shares can be bought at this moment. Very soon, the rate of those shares will increase and then it will be beneficiary for the customer of the share
Partially I agree with Brian Castro that stock market has its own rule to play and is not direcetly realted to the inflatin, IP or many other fundamental aspects of the company but not with all. What he stated is one simple way of looking stock trends. There are so many other factors come into account. One major factor is the month itself. Majority of maked changes start from middle of the month or 21st of Month. the aveage taken for a month from ist to last is a mistake then.
I again repeat that Sensex is likelihood to fall at least till 14th November 09.The fall may be around 1000 points.It is wise to plan with the most promishing stocks in Auto, metal, FMCG, Real Estate and Oil and Gas sectors and get ready to pick them up for the next one month. It is far better to watch the trend reversal on 15th November.
No its not the right time to invest as the twig money flow index shows that sentiments are going downwards nifty can see a level of 3900 By
Kunal Vasist, Freelancer, Freelancer
| 11 03 2009 19:49:36 +0000
Risk is all pervading like God is. But human being tries to find out methods to deal risks at every step and avoid meeting risk or prolong it. Everyone knows he is destined to die one day but he consults doctors, consume medicines to prolong death. This happens in the risk market also. Stock market is fraught with risk of losing but everyone tries to avoid or deal the risk with. There is bottom in the stock market after every uptrend. In very few cases the bottom is extremely low. Intelligent people always try to find the bottom and the peak. There is some success in this finding. By the very nature human being has he is never satisfied with the outcome of the solution. He keeps on trying to find better solution. I am one of those persons who have been trying to find a better solution in the world of risk ravaged market for last 14 years. Let me inform that I have not earned single penny in conducing my research. Rather I burned some money. I am still confident to find a better solution. This is human nature and craze. It would be advisable to not to take up risk with blind eyes. There are some people destined to help out. Look out for them.
Stock market is very much governed by aspiration for gain and fear psychosis of losing. Company performance and economy provide the base for both. There is a big time gap beween the performance of a company its impact on the economy and the spread of the information about these developments to the investors community. In between, even small news about an incident bad or good is enough to imact the mind to lead investors or traders in stock market to move in the direction the market thinks about these uncidents vis a vis markets. The industrial growth you referred to is definely high enough to move the stock market to positive direction but it is not going to happen as witnesses recently. Solar Energy Cycle, which governs the psotive development in the economy started very good from 15th September 09 but is lost now for some time. This will weaken further from December. This will sustain the fear of losing further. The overall impact will be for a medium term inducing backtracking by investors and the consequent falling market. Later I will be able to explain all these developments technically if the readers demand. thank You
Dear Sk Shyam sundar, Your doubt has a real base. Generally big and powerful institutions tend to influence public opinion by manipulating the market trend by inviting funds of financial institutions or public or both and motivating common people to invest and doom oneday or other. This is what happened in case of Harshad Mehta and Ketan Parekh. Those were situations when big bubbles of uptrends were created that was disproportional to the real growth in the company or the economy. The funds invested in the stock market are burnt up ultimately and the bubbles burst. No one can caution investors because they are motivated by the immediate gains and profits. Only a cautious investors can save themselves. A company profile and profitablitiy is a sure indication of the performance of their stocks but thai guidlenes fail during bubbles.
I have designed a formula for knowng about situations that create bubbles and doom investors. I am still not in the commercial world but very soon going to launch the product. In case you are in this business of investment keep in touch with me for timely advice. It would be wiser to inform all concerned and the the academic world and investors that my Solar energy Cycle analysis clearly indicates about the impending downtrend in the stock market worldwide till April 2010 mid barring some intermediate uptrends. If your mind can accept this kindly make use of it or discard. I still support that this is not the right time for investment in stock market.
It is better to study the fundamentals and invest. Try to find out the book value and if the share is available with low cost at considerable PE invest carefully.
No, It is not wiser to invest now since Sensex will go down further according to the analysis done on the basis of Soalr Energy Cycle and Solar commercial Time.Sensex is likely to lift up from Mid November but for a short time only. This is the time the investors can venture out with some investments with utmost caution to offload it by December middle.
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