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Created by : Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna  | 03 16 2010 11:19:59 +0000
Industry : Equity Research/AnalyticsFunctional Area : Equities(Markets)
Activity:  306 views;  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000

Barring a few, most companies have paid a higher tax this quarter (Q4 FY 10) and for the year (FY 10), an Income Tax source Aditya Birla group company, Grasim Industries, has paid Rs 216 crore advance tax in Q4 FY 10 as compared to Rs 65 crore it paid in the year-ago period. Its total payment for this fiscal has gone up to Rs 811 crore as against Rs 285 crore in FY 09.

Companies like Glaxo Smithkline, and Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services has shelled out Rs 68 crore Rs 58 crore advance tax this quarter respectively

Does all these advance tax payments indicates economic recovery will be stable?

 
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I think yes. The market is recovering from the last year's economic downturn and these cases are of of the reasons. Because of early and huge amount of Tax payments by MNCs, market is gaining its strength very fast and indeed, if this advance trend of tax payments continues, the economic recovery will definitely be stable.


By Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna  03 16 2010 11:39:36 +0000
 
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  • Headline Inflation will continue to fall and some economies (particularly developed one) will see short period of Headline Deflation in H1 of 2009. Reason: rapidly falling inflation, asset prices, and credit crisis. 
  • Central banks in across the world will continue to ease their monetary policy in the next three to six months to impede the deeper downturn and the risk deflation outcome.
  • FY09 earnings in India and 1st quarter earnings in the US and Europe. Bank’s result would be the top priority for the global investors as their positive corporate earnings might be an advance indicator for an improvment in the credit market and the whole banking system which has a lead role to damage the global economy.

By ravindra shrivastava, Information Systems(MIS)-Manager, iifs pvt ltd  03 16 2010 14:12:43 +0000
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Yes your quite righly so but my view is little bit diffrent from  U becose of that we don't forget that behind this recovery there is a big stimulus which played a key role .... also remember that our inflation rate is going upwards day by day ... this is big cause of worry and under the pressure of this if govt. decide hick in bank rates this could be start down trends ... so before making our final comment on this we have to look the fact which is behind  it and ....also govt. is taking back their stimulus from Industries .... ....I want so say that we have to look what will happen when govt. decide to withdraw all these .


By Vireshwar Chaturvedi, SAP MM Consultant , Dexler Information Limited  | 03 17 2010 08:34:41 +0000
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Esha

I agree that paying higher advance tax by corporates is a sign of economic recovery and that too in the fourth quarter when the whole years profit is taken into consideration.I am not sure about the stability factor as the corporates pushes the sales and income to the maximum extent in the fourth quarter to boost their profits and strengthen their balance sheets.


By Vikas Bhatnagar, Manager Finance, Tata Motors Ltd  | 03 17 2010 07:50:54 +0000
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I am in agreement with the Views expressed by Esha and Darshil as there is no denial to the statement that “Market is recovering from last years economic downturn” rather I personally feel that the slow down in Indian economy was just a impact of Global meltdown; as Globalization has given us rapid growth, we could not eliminate it’s demerits too. Otherwise I do not see a reason in Indian Economy to be trapped in an Economic slowdown Phase. It seems to be more notional or may be a impact of liquidity crunch due to withdrawal by FII’s in the crises period. The recovery is well indicated on Nifty / Sensex too which have almost doubled from last years low.

 

But at the same time I am also in agreement of Mr Kausari’s statement that this only can not be a parameter to judge the recovery, other considerable factors need to be taken in consideration too. And Mr. Khairnar, you are correct in saying that before melt down too advance taxes were paid, but then there was no collapse in India, global meltdown impacted the sentiment and liquidity for a while and corporates are back on track with lessons of meltdown ( Sub Prime etc.) to play more safe further.

Thus I believe the recovery is Stable...


By Prassan Kumar Sharma, AVP, Nirmal Bang Securities  | 03 16 2010 21:59:57 +0000
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Yes I think, that seeing to the figures of Advance tax of the Indian corporates like Reliance paying 713 crores of Advance tax and Grasim 216 crores it seems that atleast Indian economy is on a drive which shows the recovery from the dooms day. Whatever the global conditions maybe the Indian players have a good hold on the world market which doesnot have any impact of the global economic slowdown and the profits are increasing Year on year basis.


By Darshil , CEO/MD/Director, Darshil Cotton Company  | 03 16 2010 12:11:13 +0000
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Advance Tax payments by Indian corporates may not necessarily mean recovery. To judge economic recovery, there are other parameters also.


By ASOKE KUSARI, Domestic Private Banking-Executive/Manager, A large leading PSU Bank - India  | 03 16 2010 14:19:45 +0000
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Paying advance tax doesn't mean economic recovery in India will be stable.Tax was being paid even before the recession period. Our corporates were having good hold in the market at that time also. Still were we able to protect India from being effected? No matter India was among the least effected countries. Still it was effected. This proves advance tax payments may help in strenghtening of market condition but doesn't necessarily guarantee of stability in the economy.


By Prakash Khairnar, Sr. Associate, DSP Merrill Lynch  | 03 16 2010 13:01:39 +0000
 
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