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Created by : Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays  | 02 06 2010 06:48:00 +0000
Industry : Equity Research/AnalyticsFunctional Area : Equities(Markets)
Activity:  332 views;  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000

Indian markets saw a deep fall in financial market last week as a rise in jobless claims was seen in Europe and UK. All the sectoral indices closed in the red, with realty, metals and capital goods. But analysts are predicting short term indices bouncing back in the medium term in the near future because it seems like a bear market.

So users, do you think these global uncertainties can pull the markets further down?

 
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I think so. Will the ongoing market trend, I think a lot of money bundles will shift to IPO thus cuasing further downwards trend. But still, there is a hope that sensex and Nifty should hover around 14000 & 4000 points respectively which is ideal number.


By Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays  02 06 2010 06:48:00 +0000
 
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I think markets may correct further this week, but marginally. Nifty may bounce back from 4650. Further correction is only liquidity driven. Also, if the FIIs have finished booking their profits then at the available sensex levels they may start buying and the markets will stop the downside. Else, the reverse may happen and our domestic investment is not going to fall once growth is up, it may again cross 17000 pts.


By Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna  02 06 2010 07:11:22 +0000
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yes..because what happens around you definitely affects ...more or less. ....so , it seems that this time the downturn wont be as severe as earlier. 


By Megha Goel, Assistant manager, Axis Bank, Delhi  | 03 04 2010 17:34:18 +0000
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Yes ...but not like last year....


By Nitin M Aras, Head/VP/GM-Tech. Support, ODTIN Food Solutions Pvt Ltd  | 02 08 2010 09:34:57 +0000
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Further downside appears imminent.  This is welcome for long term investors!


By Nagarajan Narayanan, Cost Accountant, Cost Accountant  | 02 08 2010 08:44:27 +0000
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The over trend is about to change i feel.

Dollar is expected to get more strength and gold too expected to fall further.More FII Fund based selling can create havoc in the market in the short term.The stimulus package announced by USA is going to have its side effects on their economy in the near future.Now the wind is slowly shifting to Europe.I Feel same like USA ,we will hear lot of bad news from these European countries as well.

the short term trend look bleak and we see further downward momentum to to accelerate after a minor short covering.

The only ray of hope in the later part of Q2 is, where the global funds going to flee when all the leading economy in trouble.Will they focus the radar back to india?


By leesiriro , Consultant, confidentia  | 02 07 2010 06:04:31 +0000
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Though there may be slight set backs ,the Indian markets are in a short term bull phase . The intra day bear run can be well utilized for buying selected equities with a short term perspective.

For today, I have reported a " range bound movement with the day's high near to 5120 (Nifty) and low around 5060, with a positive close.

Desist trading in Options for the day.

Buy selected stocks and hold for short term.


By ABEY ALEX MARANGHATTU, Founder, www.abraaportals.in  | 03 05 2010 05:55:43 +0000
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As i said in my prior posting , the Indian markets would show some strength at least for the very near term.

Intra day , the bulls would scale up the Indice's above 4850 ( Nifty) levels and the day's low would be 4764.

Buying selected equity stocks with short term perspective is recommended.

For intra day traders , Nifty option CE 4800 ( average market price - 90 Nifty Level 4770) could be bought with selling targets @ Nifty level 4831 (Amp- 110).


By ABEY ALEX MARANGHATTU, Founder, www.abraaportals.in  | 02 10 2010 05:05:25 +0000
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No, if no further "surprises" show up.

Credit card risk in US, some sovereign risk around the world, some state financial status in UE (Greece, Portugal, Spain), some hidden-till-now-bubble (I don't feel transparency level in financial sector is really improved), some international hot spot fueling another war....

Yes, we have to hope no further surprises for at least 2-3 years......Is it possible? Let's hope so (:-)


By domenico fama, HR Business Parner, international Bank  | 02 09 2010 15:37:52 +0000
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The indian markets are in a trend reversal from 8th February 2010 and would witness bullish sentiments for short term.

Abey Alex maranghattu

www.abraadvisory.blogspot.com


By ABEY ALEX MARANGHATTU, Founder, www.abraaportals.in  | 02 09 2010 08:18:39 +0000
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I agree with you as company level sentiment are improving and u know stock market is related to real market Mall has also started to becoming crowded Bnext phase of problems likely to came from Europe


By CHINTAN , Security/ Equity Research Analyst, chintaninc  | 02 09 2010 05:13:59 +0000
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We are in for a bigger problem than we faced in 2008.At that time private companies and banks have become bankrupt and government along with central banks came to the rescue with stimulus pro gramme and bailout packages. Due to this almost all governments had to incur heavy deficits and rating agencies may downgrade them for not maintaining fiscal prudence.

The next possible problem is sovereign default.The first came from Dubai and it was temporarily saved by Abudhabi. Greece is the recent addition.Ireland already in the list and now Portugal and Spain is also seems to add to the list making the acronym PIGS.Only BRIC countries may do well if they are able to control deficit and come out from the easy money policy and tax the rich and wealthy to come out from the debt trap 


By K.VITTAL SHETTY, Chief Executive Officer, MITHRA SOUHARDA CREDIT CO-OPERATIVE LIMITED  | 02 08 2010 16:10:15 +0000
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I don't think so,  normal corrections may apply as normal times, but another March 9 2009 is not possible, people speaking at W type recovery, but my opinion its not possible at least for next 5 years, probably when china hit badly, it may take 3-5yrs from then to see another major dip, but unlikely i see Sensex go below 11000k in coming years.


By Govindu Ravikumar, a  | 02 06 2010 13:13:20 +0000
 
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