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Topic : 2009 General Elections : Key Issues
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Created by : Sudeep Tarafdar, Senior Consultant, IBM  | 03 12 2009 10:07:41 +0000
Industry : Management & Strategy ConsultingFunctional Area : India(Markets)
Activity:  592 views;  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000

From the news:

Launching the Third Front, the Left and major regional parties joined hands to take on the Congress and the BJP in the upcoming general elections, saying both of them had failed to address people's grievances.

Addressing a massive rally here, leaders of these parties announced that they had come together to provide a "new alternative" to the voters ahead of the Lok Sabha polls.

The leaders of Janata Dal-Secular, Communist Party of India-Marxist, Communist Party of India, Revolutionary Socialist Party, Forward Bloc, Telugu Desam Party, AIADMK, Telangana Rashtra Samiti and the Bahujan Samaj Party claim they can give the nation a stable government.

The biggest names of the Third Front, Prakash Karat of the CPI-M, A B Bardhan of the CPI, Chandrababu Naidu of the TDP and JD-S leader H D Deve Gowda, Satish Mishra of the BSP, V Maitreyan of the AIADMK, representatives of TRS, Forward Bloc, RSP and Bhajan Lal's Haryana Janahith Party are part of Third Front.

Will the Third Front would be able to woo voters ???

What would you say ???

 
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I know that it is comfortable for educated and say intelligent people to dismiss the sheer possibility of third front coming to power.  By crreating an illusion, we are consoling ourselves. I also do hope and pray that it does not happen, but you cannot ignore the possibility of it, third front, coming to power.

The logic and logistics are simple. Analyzing the fragmented mandate and illusions of voters over last couple of elections, it can be safely assumed that neither Congress nor BJP could gain the majority of their own.

Almost all the time when Congress was in minority, Left always used to come and support Congress for their sheer pathological hatred towards BJP. However, this time Left is not going to support Congress. It will leave Congress vulnerable.

Second and most importantly, if you are following Inidna politics closely, Utter Pradesh always assumes greater importance as it has largest number of MPs from the state. More often then not majority of Prime Ministers also had hailed from Uttar Pradesh.

This time Mayavati is having virtual hold in UP with clear majority in assembly. Mayavati could go to any extent to gain the power. She is the principle candidate for third front.

We, who discuss politics on forums like this are more likely not to go to vote on the D-day...but all the dalits and Muslims are sure to go to vote...it is safe, may be little comfortable, to assume that all Dalit and partly Muslim and Hindu votes can go to Mayavati as it had been witnessed in recent UP elections.

Left parties are going to keep their strongholds in West Bengal and Keral...

All other samll, regional parties, except BJP and Congress don't have any ideological base. They want power and money...they will not hesitate twice to support Mayavati as a Prime Minister if she has the real chance and would happily bargain...

In 575+ seats...BJP+ and Congress+ are not likely to get more then 300 seats among them leaving a thin but distinct possibility for third front to have a go for power...Let us not foll ourselves and face the ugly reality....

If anybody is coming to power, all these talks about "ideology" does not matter at all...their only ideiology is to gain power and that is why they are in the very first place in politics...

So let us be prepared for the shocker...I once again pray that it does not happen and either BJP or Congress come to power...but I am not inclined to rule out the possibility....unless voter turnout is more then 80%....unfortuately, in theory we have the choice but in practice we don't....Let us hope for the best and prepared for the worst..... 


By HASMUKH GANDHI, FILM AND TV PRODUCER, PROFESSIONAL  03 14 2009 12:25:14 +0000
 
Top Argument
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Hi,

I am not much into politics or things related to it, but if given a chance to raise my voice i would say we should not support coalition government. In a coalition government every party would try to make there foots strong in the government instead of working on nations problem.

Internal clashes would increase. And government wouldn’t be able to concentrate on whole nation but will stick up with its own member’s issues.

At this point of stage where we are growing and have to face many issues like we terrorism we can't afford this.

Regards


By Rohini Kaushal, HR Executive, Etech, Inc pvt ltd  03 14 2009 11:29:09 +0000
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yes it might be able to form the government, as both the BJP and congress are finding it difficult to rope in candidates from the regional parties and others, and with recent varun gandhi's comments about other religion and his hate speech, this is seriously denting the BJPs image so, there might be a surprise with the third front in the fray...


By Jagbir Singh, Senior Consultant, Ernst & Young  | 03 18 2009 12:50:37 +0000
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we cant expect government from them and they also know this better but they will able to create problem for fair government


By AMOD KUMAR YADAV, Manager - Projects Sales & Marketing, RDK INTERNATIONAL LIGHTING LLC  | 03 14 2009 09:41:00 +0000
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There is no need to woo voters actually, as the large chunk of vote bank belongs to the rural part of India, and the parties which they have formed the third front have actually perfomed well in these area, so there may be a surprise as Mr. ramdas has put it.


By Alapati Bhaskar, Senior Consultant, IML  | 03 13 2009 12:33:37 +0000
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yes they may actually pull off a rabbit from the hat, because all are having enough experience in the political arena, and Former PM devegowda is a willy old fox who still has some tricks up his sleeve as seen in the JDS rule in karnataka, and with the support of CPM,AIADMK and Teludesam, with mayawati, may be they can upset the other two, so one should see how all this political drama unfolds in the coming days...so there is a chance of this 3rd front coming into picture.


By Ramdas Pawar, Sales/BD Manager, Flex  | 03 13 2009 12:27:52 +0000
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It is highly unlikely that the third front will come to power. Even if it does, it will need the support of the BJP/NDA, as I am of the belief that the Congress/UPA would rather sit in opposition than support the third front.

In this scenario, the government would be very unstable and this will send out wrong signals to foreign investors and the rupee may fall.

Not a good scenario for the country trying to come out of the recession.



By Viktor Stephen, COO, I Entrepreneur  | 04 15 2009 18:11:27 +0000
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This election will be a turning point in Indian politics in which both BJP and Congress would suffer heavy loss and hence will have lesser say in formation of Central Government.

 

Votes of other than the hard core party followers will be divided between  the National parties  (BJP & Congress), the regional parties and Independents. Future of the country's politics will be decided by how various regional parties get grouped together themselves to form the government with or without support of one or the other national parties.

 

The outcome of such coalition will surely depend on common acceptance, initially of P.M and then the Ministers from various parties in the coalition.  It will not be surprising that there will be many PMs, Deputy PMs and panel of ministers in rotation during the tenure. If it happens to be ten party coalition, we may see a new P.M and panel of Ministers in every six months. 

Then we will have dozens of PMs in waiting and every MP in the coalition will be a minister in waiting.  (May God save this country)


By P. Abraham Paul, MD FCOMNET  | 04 15 2009 09:13:26 +0000
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Its very difficult for third party to compete either with BJP or Congress because from decades people are voting only these two parties into power and i don't think so that scenario will change this time also.


By Ramdas Pawar, Sales/BD Manager, Flex  | 04 15 2009 08:27:43 +0000
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i to agree with Vijay and all others that this 3rd front will not be able to woo voters, as there is nobody in that camp who can lead very well, there will be internal fights in the party with so many bigwigs, it is bound to have clash of ideologies among themselves and sure they will land up no where.


By Anil Kumar Singh, Senior Consultant, GKC  | 04 06 2009 05:19:37 +0000
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1. No leader of this combine has enough credentials to establish their capability to maintain the flock together and lead the same for full term of 5 years. Such a government even if formed, will remain weak due to weak bonding of idealogies.    


By Vijay Kumar Puri, Sr. Design Engineer VKPURI&ASSOCIATE  | 04 05 2009 20:04:00 +0000
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I would request dear members to go through my article "A bitter pill for India reprieve' posted in elsewhere in this space in 5 parts. And also please see my posting on " An apolitical Federal government..." 

What the country need is a government that would take care of the interests of the poor people of about 70% to 80% of the country's population, struggling for their lively hood. If any party can gain their confidence, the country will get the right government.

 It came closer with Congress party and the Communist joining hands with the astute statesmanship of the elders in Communist party. It is unfortunate that the opportunity is lost due to the leadership bankruptcy, in the new generation Communists who do only lip service to poor mass. 

The Congress leadership also flawed with unusual haste in severing ties with communists as keeping the coalition with them was more important and useful to the country than the option of becoming subservient to America. 

Unless a major change of attitude happen in the communist's leadership, it is doubtful a cohesive and fruitful and workable coalition can happen that can take the reins and complete the term of governance of this nation. Leaving it to their ideology the country is likely to go backwards as is happening to that highly resourceful state of Kerala.


By Abraham Paul, Senior Telecom Consultant, FCOMNET- Future Groups  | 03 18 2009 18:48:37 +0000
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need one stong party to bring back tourisam, investors & economy


By Prasad R.N., Sales Manager ( India) With Birla Morton , Birla group of Sugar Industries Processed Food division  | 03 17 2009 17:49:40 +0000
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need one stong party to bring back tourisam, investors & economy


By Prasad R.N., Sales Manager ( India) With Birla Morton , Birla group of Sugar Industries Processed Food division  | 03 17 2009 17:49:25 +0000
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I am not supporter of Third front. This is a gruop of oppurtunitic politians who are clear that they never get a majority & look forward to form a Govt with outside support of either BJP Or Cong with a minimum of 8 PM aspirants.

All of them have a different views & policies of their own. 


By Prasad R.N., Sales Manager ( India) With Birla Morton , Birla group of Sugar Industries Processed Food division  | 03 17 2009 17:41:08 +0000
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I don't think there is anything much we can expect from the 3rd Front. Everytime before elections the lefts will come up with the same story.. after that they will fight each other.


By Shaju George, Facilities/Construction Manager, IBS Software Services (P) Ltd  | 03 14 2009 11:08:32 +0000
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We had experiance of I K Gujaral & H D Devegouda's government.

No more words require to explain.

To run the government at centre , Nationalised party is required .

Regional parties can not run the government at central level.


By Naimish , Construction-Heavy, Gourav Engineers  | 03 14 2009 10:12:38 +0000
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Here is one more cartoon show to unveil. With all greedy politicians ready to take their bite. I don't know but there must be some way, if these buggers step back into political blackmail in the name of secularity / weaker section / caste etc etc. they must be publicly gunned down. I am sick of seeing these bastards hang on for so long and still going.

This is perhaps the destiny of Indian Voters that we have to choose between Bad and Worst (and not between Good and Best). Each one of these netas is a hardcore opportunist and will not mind changing his loyalty 100 times if it suits his/her political ambition. I wonder where we are headed as a nation......any thoughts???


By Radhakrishna Marar, Business Analyst, Oracle  | 03 13 2009 07:10:42 +0000
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People of India know what these parties are. CPM is ruling WB from last 30 years and everyone knows what progress WB achieved in these years. Deva Gowda was the PM of our country. Do anyone remember a single good decision he made during his tenure? Mayawati was an ordinary school teacher. Now she is one of the richest politicians of the country. How is she grabbed so much of wealth? One can imagine what will happen if she is made our PM. Needless to talk about Jaylalita and others. I have one request to the voters of my beloved country. The world is passing through an historical phase. India is steadily climbing the ladders of a world power. Please make your vote countable.....


By Dayanand Deshpande, Senior Consultant, Ernst & Young  | 03 13 2009 06:52:38 +0000
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My experience says that fronts like this that have no strong ideological platform and are formed purely to oppose `communal` parties. Other than creating some more nuisance, these coalitions of convenience have not contributed anything to the national politics. This is just a crowd formed on the eve of elections......


By Sudeep Tarafdar, Senior Consultant, IBM  | 03 12 2009 10:20:15 +0000
 
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