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Started by : Dushyant Hada, Territory Manager   05 18 2009 07:52:15 +0000
Industry : Equity Research/AnalyticsFunctional Area : Equities(Markets)
Activity:  170 views;  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000

Its more than 2000 point rally in a day and market halted for the day, where is it will now go from here, what will be the prospect of share mkt vis a vis indian economy post UPA majority

 
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1 Steady upward trend with correction at time intervals
2 Fake hype
3 Confidense rally, will take up mkt to 15 k
4 Instead of looking at the Index look at the value of stocks
5 Road ahead after Big hype
6 Road ahead after Big hype
7 market at crucial levels

Steady upward trend with correction at time intervals

idea posted by Prakash Saitwal Technical Support Manager, Aditya Birla Management Corporation P. Ltd.

With many deterrants taken away, sensex will be steadity going upwards. The enormity of global recession is also known factor now. But the upward trend will be dampened with external reasons.

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Yes Market will be up in short run.

But time will tell Govt strategies are long run or a jut a factor of "Single Stable Govt.".  Time will also tell whether current govt wants to do classical "Divide and Rule" (Keeping people below and deprived. eg.-farm loan waiver, protecting mis managed companies, heavy taxes, entry barriers, no free fund at the hands of educated people i.e. high rates of real estate and high cost of living leading to huge debt thus no time and money for new industries/ideas).

Indians are still followers of technology (Be it Operating System, Hardware, Cars, ...)  We jut pay for technology. This is not good in a very long run. Masters of technology will always like to keep lions share.

Thus long run is a question mark.

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by Darshil , CEO/MD/Director, Darshil Cotton Company  | 06 01 2009 10:24:21 +0000

How the results of the companies changed with in a day the UPA came into power. Ya, I agree that the stable government is good for the economy but companies are not going top benefit today. So I believe that the Indian market is going to see an uptrend but with the correction at regular intervals. But I feel that the lower levels of Sensex would not be touched in the coming future unless some global financial calamlity comes into existence.

 

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by Abhay Dodiya, B.Com. M.B.A.(Fin.)  | 05 29 2009 13:19:18 +0000

I agree to the point that market will move steady upward with correction at various interval and that too due to global cues like today US GDP numbers (QOQ) are expected so that may bring another rally or correction. 

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Fake hype

idea posted by Nitin M Aras Head/VP/GM-Tech. Support, ODTIN Food Solutions Pvt Ltd

People believe in stable govt. hence this rise...

protect yourself, its a game of big investors...

Believe - "GREAT RISE HAS A GREAT FALL"

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by Pragya Kothari, Construction-Heavy, DLF  | 05 19 2009 12:59:47 +0000

yes i do agree with Nitin here every great rise has a great fall, hope it doesn't happen as there is some confidence that is going on with the investors and will be stable for time being and also might increase...a great time for investments...

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Confidense rally, will take up mkt to 15 k

idea posted by Dushyant Hada Territory Manager

Confidense rally, will take up mkt to 15 k

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Yes ... tomorrow again a big bounce ... beyond 15k sure and then some correction.

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by Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna  | 05 18 2009 11:58:17 +0000

We have to wait & watch!!

Because anything can happen just cross your fingure hope for best.

1
  

Yes.. Hope it can be seen tomorrow itself.

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Instead of looking at the Index look at the value of stocks

idea posted by K.MOHAN Business Analyst, Science Fiction Writer, Green enthusiasist,SELF-employed

Before trying to find whether the rally will go beyond 14272, remember the fact the index came hurtling down from 21,000 to 8,000. so that is a 50% retracement level. This 50% retracement is a critical level. Once retracing 50% one expects heavy correction. However this time around particularly in the indian context we must take in the +ves of Indian corporates performances and their intrinsic value. Supposing there is a correction a particular stock may become undervalued. At that time you pick  up the stock for appreciation. The rally after the elections has been very fast. This may be attributed to the heavy short covering on positions as many have been caught on the wrong foot on the wide belief that uncertainty will prevail after the polls. Contrary to expectations the clear mandate given to Congress keeping the left out cheered the market and boosted sentimets.The bears had to scurry for cover.

As many +ve developments like banking and insurance reforms, infrastructure boosting are expected due to the stable govt, there is still more room left for appreciation in the concerned stocks.Still one would do well to purchase at comfortable levels

   Supposing the economy gets back on track and the global recession ebbs the index will head higher

 

 

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Road ahead after Big hype

idea posted by Chirag Kabani Technical Analyst , askchirag.com

Markets may Remian Rangebound in Range of 13100---15400 , Over period next Few weeks Unless budget gives Some More Surprises  , Dont go Short on markets on Rise ,  Trend has changed to buy on Dips as if Now till 12400 Is held on Weekly closing basis .

Genrally midcaps and small Caps run for 60-90 Day period Which marks the end of rally So stay catious at current levels and keep booking Regular Booking profits and maintain trailling SL for all longs

Current TSL on Sensex is 13400 Below which Every bull Should get lighter or start to hedge the postions

1
No supporting Arguments for this idea
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Road ahead after Big hype

idea posted by Chirag Kabani Technical Analyst , askchirag.com

Markets may Remian Rangebound in Range of 13100---15400 , Over period next Few weeks Unless budget gives Some More Surprises  , Dont go Short on markets on Rise ,  Trend has changed to buy on Dips as if Now till 12400 Is held on Weekly closing basis .

Genrally midcaps and small Caps run for 60-90 Day period Which marks the end of rally So stay catious at current levels and keep booking Regular Booking profits and maintain trailling SL for all longs

Current TSL on Sensex is 13400 Below which Every bull Should get lighter or start to hedge the postions

1
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market at crucial levels

idea posted by sandesh saboo Research Associate/Analyst, saboo associates

at 14350 market it at 50 % retracement of 3 years span from top of 21206 and bottom of 7697.

market 14750 it completes 76 percent correction to one year span top

market have to cross this two levels to enter into a bull market again till then it is a retracement to the fall and it was sharp retracement as sharp as th e fall

so look at the particular scrips with index as a over all lead..with th emerger of rpl and ril comparing the index once the both scrips are merged would be tricky.

and relinace as an entity alone would amount for 20 to 22 percent of index.

and with other oil companies too in the index the index is higly oil sector loop sided.

 

 

 

 

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by Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays  | 05 29 2009 11:09:54 +0000

Yes Sandesh you are right here, it is a bit oil sector loopsided now, and you are right it has half reached with its correction, still has some distance to cover....

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