Capital Markets
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Activity:
10 views;
last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000
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Business model
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Positive operating cash flow
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Debt-equity ratio
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All that glitters is not gold
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Relative valuations
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Price-to-book value (P/BV)
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Dividends
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One of the basic features of a stock is the
business model of the company, which makes it a defensive or aggressive bet. A
growth stock is likely to perform very well in a bull run, while a defensive
bet may pay off in a bearish market. |
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I believe that if the fundamentals of a business are on firm ground, its stocks are bound to bounce back. When buying stocks of commodity-based businesses, an investor should be aware of the specific commodity cycle and hence, the consequent cyclicity in the company’s earnings.
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Cash is king. This is not only me but everyone says
these days. The net cash that a business generates through its operations, as
reflected in the company’s cash flow statement, is also a critical feature. It
is important for a company to have a positive cash flow from its operations. A
company can report net profit in its profit & loss account without
generating a positive cash flow from the socalled ‘profitable’ growth.
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Another parameter to be considered is free cash flow, i.e. the cash left with the company after capital expenditure (capex). Any company may have negative operating cash flow (OCF) for one or two years, but a good company with a sustainable business model cannot have a history of negative OCFs. Similarly, a well-managed company should not have negative free cash flow for many years in a row.
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I think this is a very vital tool to measure a company’s leverage. A low
debt-equity ratio is generally preferred, but is not always necessary.
Companies in capital-intensive sectors like infrastructure, real estate,
cement, steel and oil & gas typically have high debt-equity ratios, while
those in sectors like FMCG, IT and pharmaceuticals generally have low
debt-equity ratios. |
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Another thing to be considered when we are going for D/E ratio is the phase of a company’s growth. A company in a growth phase may, at times, choose to leverage itself more than ideally required, against a company that has an established business. Higher debt increases the finance costs, which can be costlier to service in a high interest rate regime. Conversely, raising money through equity can be difficult during a bear phase.
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This is one saying which everyone might have heard at least once in their lifetime. With market valuations having fallen drastically, many investors seem to be rummaging for value picks. But they must remember, all that glitters is not gold. An investor must have the skill to spot the good stocks from the bad ones. |
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The price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of a company cannot be an important indicator by itself, unless it is considered in comparison with the P/E multiples of other companies in the same sector, or against the company’s own historical P/E, or against the market’s P/E. |
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This ratio of the stock’s market value to book value helps in knowing its
relative under or over-valuation. A lower P/BV multiple typically indicates
that the stock is under-valued, but this may not always be the case. Again,
this ratio varies from industry to industry. A capital-intensive industry will
typically have a lower P/BV multiple. Banks generally use this ratio, because
unlike manufacturing companies, they measure their assets at market value.
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Being a shareholder, I am only interested in investments. A company which
consistently pays dividends implies it’s rewarding its shareholders. Preference
should always be given to a company with higher dividend yield. Higher the
yield more is the investor’s return on his/her investment. However, long-term
investors should be wary of companies which dole out dividends at the cost of
growth. It is also important to compare growth in dividend to growth in profit.
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As such there is news of falling stocks daily on the news, There is a saying that one who is faint hearted shouldn't enter the stock market business, the way the stock market goes up and down he surely will be affected, so what to do in such times... |
What role do technology / internet / social networks / play in serving professionals in the capital markets? |
How according to you we can make sure our business credit is built the “correct” way? |

