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last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:09 +0000
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USD/JPY - I believe there will be a downturn again
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Near Future The USD/JPY Will Fall Severly Lower And Peak Dollar Will Be Realized
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What do you think the future holds for USD/JPY?
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Usd/Jpy outlook is bullish
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A possible support
at 96.36. Friday, The Japanese Yen
(JPY) is extremely volatile
with USD weakness and slumping stocks sending the pair back under 97
before a late Equity rally and saw both the USD/JPY and crosses ending higher. Looking ahead, January Current Account previously at
-92.1% I believe there will be a downturn again. Comments will be highly appreciated. |
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Hi All, this is the first time I giving my thought in this website. I am not a FX trader. But I take care of FX oprations. As per my knowledge, the currency pair of USD/JPY is going see downturn.Both JPY and USD are not that attractive currency pair for all ppl who are trading in FX.As interest rates are fluctuating alot this pair.
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According to me it may be a systemic risk event that takes the USD/JPY lower; or it may simply be risk aversion to turmoil in the financial sector, or it may be risk aversion to the NASDAQ and Semiconductors falling lower, but soon yes the USD/JPY will fall sharply lower. |
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Thanks for the thoughts. It will be interesting to see where it goes in the following weeks and months. There will be ups-and-downs, but I believe the USD will go lower against the JPY.
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JPY will in the short term strenghen against the USD, because the banking crisis will prevail. The only offset for the USD will be if the Bailout plan will work, but that is amillion-dollar question. |
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According to me, the volatility in USD/JPY in the recent times has fallen to the lowest level since October. As risky assets, the yen crosses and other high yielding currency pairs are very sensitive to the level of volatility in the foreign exchange market.
And the decline in volatility is helping to boost the market’s appetite risk and restore demand for higher yielding currencies, also, investors may finally be responding to the weakness of Japanese economic data and the new measures announced by the Bank of Japan...
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The USD-JPY has been hampered by dollar weakness and the shifting of the carry trade from the yen to the dollar. With the japanese government following a no intervention policy the pair drifted lower. But that outlook is changing and governments around the globe see a weaker currency as the way out of the recession. The strengthening dollar would be offset by risk aversion and how asian markets perform because all said and done the yen still remains a safe haven currency. From trading perspective, the USD-JPY pair should move higher from henceforth. |
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