| Topic : 2009 General Elections : Key Issues |
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Source : http://media-mad-ia.blogspot.com
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last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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A quick look at the vote shares of the many contenders in the 15th Lok Sabha elections tells us quite a different story from the one told about the United Progressive Alliance’s landslide victory. Not only have the national parties not increased their vote shares nationally, it appears that very small local players in many states have played a determining role in the Congress’ victory by splitting the opposition vote.
The Congress has increased its total vote share by 1.99 percent but the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) vote share has decreased by 3.32 percent. The combined vote share of the two main national parties has actually decreased by 1.33 percent (from 48.69 percent to 47.36 percent). This seriously tempers the claim of the resurgence of national parties to the detriment of regional ones.
The two national parties have sometimes won seats where they have lost votes and lost seats where they have increased their vote share. There is nothing new in this, but it often blurs the reading and understanding of the social and political processes at work behind election results.
The BJP’s vote share has decreased in 21 states, including in states where it has increased its number of seats - Jharkhand, Bihar and Gujarat. The only two states where the BJP has actually increased its vote share are Himachal Pradesh (+5.34 percent) and Karnataka (+6.86 percent).
In terms of vote share, the Congress did better than in 2004 in 16 States, including states where it has performed badly in terms of seats (Bihar, +6.43 percent). In Maharashtra, the Congress lost four percent of its vote share; in Orissa, it bagged four more seats than in 2004 while losing 7.68 percent of the vote share; and in Manipur, it lost a seat despite a whopping 18.08 percent increase in vote share.
The Congress performed particularly well in Punjab (+11.06 percent), Rajasthan (+5.77 percent), Uttar Pradesh (+6.21 percent) and Arunachal Pradesh (+41.15 percent).

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