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Industry : Asset Management Functional Area : Valuation
Activity:  7 comments  669 views  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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There exist an inverse relationship between price of a bond and the market interest rate and interest rate risk refers to the risk that an increase in market interest rate will result in decline in price of the bond. This is based on the concept of opportunity cost.

Duration of a bond measures the sensitivity of the bond’s price to changes in interest rate. It gives the change in value of a bond corresponding to a 100 basis point change in market rate(1 basis point = .01 percentage).

It is calculated as

Duration = (corresponding change in price )/[ 2x initial price x change in yield]

And can be interpreted as , say a duration value of 25 says that there will be a 25% change in price for a corresponding 100 basis point change in yield or market rate ( ie 1%)

 Duration is considered for bond portfolio rebalancing.

 Top Comment : Padmanabhan R   | 08 19 2009 19:59:54 +0000
What I have given is only the basics and simplest way for calculating duration. I request experts in this field to give more in depth analysis on the concept of duration. Duration is the first derivative of the price yield function of a bond. They can give only approximate values and today with so much computer programs we can calculate the value of a bond considering all the financial variables with better precision , also duration is a recommended only in the case of small changes in yield. For larger changes ‘convexity’ (2 nd derivative of the price yield function) is preferred over duration.
 
7 comments on "Bond Duration - Basics"
  Commented by  Padmanabhan R, Finance student    | 08 23 2009 18:19:07 +0000
Rating : +1 
Thanks Mathew sir for your expert comments on duration : very informative,
Also it can be employed for controlling interest rate sensitivity of a portfolio based on changes in interest rate movements.
Number of future contracts to achieve a target duration is given by
[(target duration – initial duration) x Initial market value of portfolio] / [duration of futures x market value of futures] and for increasing duration go long on futures and for decreasing vice versa,
  Commented by  Mathew Cherian, Research Associate/Analyst, Western Michigan University    | 08 23 2009 14:59:15 +0000
Rating : +1 
Attention:
In my earlier post there is a correction, the exposure should be divided by dollar duration to get the Hedge ratio. Hedge ratio is the number of interest rate options to be bought for the exposure or size of ones portfolio. 
5000 is got in it as the amount the portfolio looses for the rise in interest rate expected. It is change in value of the portfolio to change in interest rate on  bonds.
  Commented by  Mathew Cherian, Research Associate/Analyst, Western Michigan University    | 08 20 2009 07:55:04 +0000
Rating : +2 
Duration is used to calculate the time in which one can recover the investment in a bond. I shall give the long calculation, which is suppose annual return on a bond is 10 ie; a 10%bond with face value 100. Suppose it is a 10 year bond then duration= {10(10/(1.10)+10(2)/(1.10)^2+10(3)/(1.1)^3....10(10)/(1.1)^10}the whole divided by {10/(1.10)+10/(1.1)^2+10/(1.10)^3+........+10/(1.1)10 which is the "weighted average payback period". Suppose if you pick up a bond it is based on reinvestment returns and if the above bond has a duration of x years then it will pay back your investment in x years.
This phenomenon was first noticed by Prof. Hicks and later on came to be used in bond immunisation where we can hedge against interest rate fluctuation on the value of a bond portfolio using this. Then that is another story. Suppose if one has a portfolio of 100000 bonds. If for say 1 percent point rise in rate the bond depreciates by 5000 then "dollar duration" is 50000 x duration. This divided by the exposure which is the 100000 gives the number of options to be bought. As the interest rises the options compensates for the loss in value of the portfolio and the protfolio is immunised. 
  Commented by  Jyoti Rath, Sr. Associate, Barclays    | 08 20 2009 05:32:50 +0000
Nice post Padmanabhanji, really very informative. Thanks for sharing...
  Commented by  varsha, technical manager(QMS)    | 08 20 2009 03:38:33 +0000
Rating : +1 
thanks for sharing very simple and exact way to calculate duration of the bond measures..
thanks to Mr. taranath  for Ur comment too.
  Commented by  taranath joshi, DGM Operations, EOL,    | 08 20 2009 01:18:23 +0000
Rating : +3 
Good Padmanabhanji,
Investment in debt is a sure shot for predictable yields, provided ratings are good and we have of keep track of the company & industry. There are cyclicals, due to which industries get into negetive sentiment and growth temporarily and recover with more pace. If you identify the situation and invest, you will be a decent earner.
Bonds which are listed and traded are followed up by financial institutions. Normally, bond funds, provident funds, pension funds etc will be focussing their investments here and gaining decent and good returns. Bonds will carry interest which will be given on par value, whereas bonds will be traded nrmally at a discount during 90% of the year. This characteristic gives the bonds and Debentures a supernatural returns. Also remember Debentures are also safe avenues since 'Debenture holders are considered as First Debtors of any company.
  Commented by  Padmanabhan R, Finance student    | 08 19 2009 19:59:54 +0000
Rating : +2 
What I have given is only the basics and simplest way for calculating duration. I request experts in this field to give more in depth analysis on the concept of duration.
Duration is the first derivative of the price yield function of a bond.  They can give only approximate values and today with so much computer programs we can calculate  the value of a bond considering all the financial variables with better precision , also duration is a recommended only in the case of small changes in yield.

For  larger changes ‘convexity’ (2 nd derivative of the price yield function) is preferred over duration.  
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