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Activity:  16 comments  191 views  last activity : 12 02 2011 12:04:20 +0000
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Here is an alarming news posted on Silicon India – I would like to share it with my friends on Toostep.com.

China could do a Kargil on India "to teach India a lesson", warned strategic affairs think-tank Insitute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), The limited hostilties could be confined to a specific section of the border, limited in duration and amenable to a negotiated termination, IDSA said in its report.

Projecting conflict scenarios between the two Asian giants, a report titled A Consideration of Sino Indian Conflict by Ali Ahmed said, "The lower end of the conflict at this level could be a Kargil-like situation. China's aim could be to teach India a lesson so as to influence India's rise before its capacity building underway acquires traction."

The report warned this "could be a limited war confined to a specific section of the border or LAC, limited in duration and amenable to a negotiated termination".

The Kargil hostilities were triggered by infiltration of Pakistani soldiers and Kashmiri militants into positions on the Indian side of the Line of Control (LoC) in 1999.

Ahmed warns at a higher level, China could indulge in a "territorial grab" by entering an area such as Tawang in Arunachal Pradesh.

"At the next rung, it could be a more ambitious bid southwards up to its claim line. Lateral or horizontal expansion of conflict from one theatre to another is the next step, with the conflict engulfing one or more of the four possible theatres -- Ladakh, Central Sector, Sikkim and Arunachal," the report said.

The think-tank said in view of India becoming better prepared in future with its capability-development programmes, it could engage China's "hegemonic attention."

"Since India would be better prepared by then, China may instead wish to set India back now by a preventive war. This means current day preparedness is as essential as preparation for the future," it said. 

 Top Comment : Srinivas suravajhala   | 10 31 2011 07:18:34 +0000
China and Pakistan are strengthening their tie-up further. It is a not a good sign as far as India concerned. China is an ambitious nation particularly on the issues of territories. It claims for Tiwan, Tibet and now certain parts of India. Two rogues are becoming together. We must be cautious enough.
 
16 comments on "China could indulge in a "territorial grab""
  Commented by  Isaac Madhavan, IT / Technical Writer, IT major    | 12 02 2011 12:04:20 +0000
Rating : +1 
Figures from Wikipedia:
----------------------

1. Pakistan GDP (PPP)	2011 estimate
 - Total	$482.913 billion
 - Per capita	$2,851

2. China GDP (PPP)	2011 estimate
 - Total	$11.316 trillion
 - Per capita	$8,394

3. India GDP (PPP)	2011 estimate
 - Total	$4.469 trillion
 - Per capita	$3,703


So just from these figures, who would you conclude is the stronger enemy - China or Pakistan?
  Commented by  sheriff r mohideen, General Manager -Technical, Origin Foods Limited    | 12 01 2011 13:36:28 +0000
not only that , china is also indulged in building gigantic , weird structures in the middle of the china desert, including Back in 2006, they built this 1:20 scale model of disputed border region between China and India. That's a terrain model 0.7 kilometer wide by almost 1 kilometer tall. Uncanny. Why would they build such a model of a terrain? To play a 1:20 scale war with 1:20 scale tanks? Mind boggling. 
  Commented by  Vinoy Scaria James, Consultant, Travel Hub    | 12 01 2011 06:31:14 +0000
There is no place for shrill slogans in international dynamics as Shameena said. We got to accept that we cannot just finish Pakisthan and then turn to China. It does not work that way. Anyway I think military strength-wise I think there is not much difference between India and Pakisthan as between India and China. So it a very delicate balance. and I think whole of India should back the government instead of creating internal problems at this crucial juncture as India has to lay its base for next 20+ years of policy in next couple of months. It will define our destiny for minimum a couple of decades. Very crucial period indeed. 
  Commented by  Ranjeet Kumar, B.Tech Mech. Engg,Kurukshetra University    | 11 15 2011 12:14:25 +0000
Get of out of the illusions.
  Commented by  Isaac Madhavan, IT / Technical Writer, IT major    | 11 10 2011 17:10:18 +0000
Rating : -1 
I've been thinking a lot on this and I think that in case Pakistan and China attack together, we should just capture Pakistan first. That will take out the irritating bug. Then we focus on China. How's that sound? :)
  Commented by  Isaac Madhavan, IT / Technical Writer, IT major    | 11 10 2011 15:56:31 +0000
Rating : +1 
Good topic Shameena. I tend to agree with Srinivas sir's first comment. China and Pakistan are further strengthening their ties. A good angle on this issue is here --> http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/publication/idr/vol_17(2)/Amrish_Sahgal.htm

What worries me is a pincer movement - by both Pakistan AND China at the same time. That would be a test of our defence readiness. And what a test that would be. It would be a test of the mettle of the ENTIRE NATION. 

We would have to keep our brothers in the Armed Forces supplied with all the necessary items. It also means that it would be India's capacity - martial, financial, logistical, etc - versus China's capacity.   Would we stand?
  Commented by  Srinivas suravajhala, Asst. Manager.    | 11 10 2011 06:12:01 +0000
Rating : +2 
Shameenaji US dollar might be loosing its place (ofcourse not yet happened), but, whether you accept it or not, US still the uncrowned big brother of the globe.  

If you observe, UN welcomed and endorsed the dethroning and killing of Gadafi.  We must not forget that UN has not send any force to Libiya, but it was only  interference o NATO.  What made the UN to welcome and endorse it. 

Mr. Ban-Ki-Moon was retained for the second consecutive period with the blessings of Big Brother and he shown his loyalty by endorsing the move of the US lead NATO.  What do you say?  

Thanks in advance for correcting me if I am wrong.
thanks for the info sir:)a
  Commented by  puneet kaushik, Financial Analyst,Operational Manager, NBFC    | 11 09 2011 14:21:52 +0000
ya, might be. china on its way.
  Commented by  Shameena W., Admin Manager, Wizcraft Inc.    | 11 09 2011 09:04:26 +0000
Rating : +2 
Srinivasji how can you make that statement when Big brother is itself loosing relevance. Our foreign policy has to move with the times and it is imperative for us to try to befriend Pakisthan with a 'stick & carrot' policy, align with the western world, keep our influence updated in the post post-spring Arab region and also invest in Sri-lank and South East Asia. Our main threat is China and we should not give them the opportunity to use our neighbors to fish in our waters. It is time time hard logical thinking in this times of changing world scenario that has no place for shrill shrieking and knee-jerk reactions. 
  Commented by  Srinivas suravajhala, Asst. Manager.    | 11 02 2011 05:41:32 +0000
Rating : -1 
Mr. Sheriff, you said it right.. UN has lost its relevance in the recent past. It became a puppet in the hands of Big Brother.   

We need to be wise to deal the issue diplomatically and win the confidence of other global powers to contain China and its aggression.
  Commented by  sheriff r mohideen, General Manager -Technical, Origin Foods Limited    | 11 01 2011 12:37:30 +0000
Rating : -2 
It is a possible scenario  and whats out think tanks response will be? Go to the now defunct UN ?
  Commented by  Srinivas suravajhala, Asst. Manager.    | 11 01 2011 06:30:55 +0000
Rating : +2 
Thank you Murty sir and Shameena ji for the value addition comments. 

We must not forget that China is militarily powerful than us as on date. Their technology is also ahead of us. Their strategy is not to give us enough time to get prepared for such scenario. I believe that this could be resolved only through dialogue and diplomacy at least for the time being.
  Commented by  Shameena W., Admin Manager, Wizcraft Inc.    | 11 01 2011 06:18:36 +0000
Rating : +4 
Yes! After we solve the psuedo-Islamist problem. the next crisis will be to contain China. 
Rating : +1 
Yes, It appears to be a serious situation. Hope our leaders/military are adequately prepared for this.
  Commented by  Srinivas suravajhala, Asst. Manager.    | 10 31 2011 07:18:34 +0000
Rating : +1 
China and Pakistan are strengthening their tie-up further. It is a not a good sign as far as India concerned.  China is an ambitious nation particularly on the issues of territories.  It claims for Tiwan, Tibet and now certain parts of India.    Two rogues are becoming together.  We must be cautious enough. 
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