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Source : http://niftytrader.wordpress.com
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last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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How to make money in bear market?
Everyone loves bull
markets. In a bull market, every stock will give us good returns. But
bear markets test one's real ability, company's fundamentals and investor's
patience levels. But Bear markets also provide wonderful investment
opportunities if we can able to spot investment chances early. We can make good
money in very short term period.
2 types of investment strategies in
bear market:
1. Accumulate more on every fall and invest for long term to reap full
benefits. Even good stocks will be available at cheap prices in bear market due
to bad sentiment.
2. Ultra short term opportunities. You should always be on
alert to utilise these chances. If you enter late, losses will be more as it
happened in case of Orchid chemicals investors who entered into that stock at
above 300 levels.
Alert: Operators will try to fool investors by artificially rising stock
prices by spreading rumours. Be careful with stocks like Ispat, RNRL,
IFCI and Essar Oil. If don't have enough knowledge on Stock Markets, stay away
from these things. If you are a long term investor, don't buy major stocks at
current levels.
Bear markets- best money making opportunities:
1. Over reaction: When L&T announced minor losses in
Forex derivatives, everyone sold it despite strong fundamentals of the comapny.
We should see for such opportunities to enter into those stocks.
2. Sudden options: Orchid chemicals suddenly lost 50% value
despite no change in fundamentals. That was due to Bear sterns sell off. We
should be always on alert for such chances.
3. Over enthusiasm: Markets over reacted to open offer and
acquisition rumours and took stock price to
unreasonable 350 levels. Even if Ranbaxy take over Orchids, 250-280 is
reasonable price. We will look for short selling opportunities in such
instances.
4. Buyback offers: In a bear markets, prices generally do
not justify its intrinsic value. So companies try to buy back shares at higher
prices. Just see what happened in Sasken Communications. Look for good buy back
offers.
5. Never chase operators: If a stock is rising without
any reason, simply stay away from such stocks. It is due to operators
activities. Never invest in any stock basing on rumours.
6. Crucial breaks: Some decisions will change company
fundamentals to much attractive levels. In these instances, stock
price will rise for prolonged period as it happened in Bombay Dyeing.
7. Rallies in bear market generally will not last for prolonged periods. So,
make money in short term and exit that stock.
8. Short term opportunities will be available in stocks
that lost more than 50% in a short period despite good growth. We should
identify them early before markets recognise them as it happened in ICSA India
and Gujarat NRE Coke.
Investors can't sit idle in bear markets as investors over react to bad news
and stocks will lose all the gains in 1-2 days. These ultra short
term opportunities are only for experienced investors who can spend
enough time on stock market research and at trading terminal. More companies
are planning to buy back shares means we are going to get investment chances to
make quick money.

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