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Topic : Trend Analysis Of Indices
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Industry : Equity Research/Analytics Functional Area : India
Activity:  4 comments  685 views  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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In the BSE Sensex Daily chart the classic peak & trough progression pattern was observed. Between uptrendline 10 and uptrendline 7 rising like Pattern was observed. Fall came at the pinnacle of cross -section of the Uptrendline 7 & uptrendline 10. The rise in BSE Sensex was arrrested by a fall from 21st October 2009. From then on BSE Sensex has been falling like nine pins...All the daily candles are bearish in nature. So the Current trend in BSE Sensex can easily said to be Down.

Going Down BSE Sensex will run into few old support levels like 15500, 15168.....if the globally also weakness is pereived then BSE Sensex Free fall might continue.

Structure Of Sensex



Since low of 7700 in daily chart the structure was sideways. Then it started its up move....the Elections results created a history and led to a big gap up as seen in the Daily charts. As observed from the Gap-up, the Structure of the BSE Sensex is indicating Higher top & Higher bottom, a bullish structure. At every higher low is leading to higher top...., so technically the structure is bullish. This bullish structure in the Daily BSE Sensex was supported by an uptrendline 7. Currently the struture an be still called bullish .....but fast approaching structure if side-ways  consolidation continues.

Momentum Indicator /Oscillator


KST-Momentum indicator

The Daily chart the KST momentum indicator gave a bearish cross over and is going down....but it is in the overbought zone. As long as KST Indicator is in overbought zone it will keep hinting at bullish undertone. The falling of KST Indicator is will give rise at gain in the downward momentum for BSE Sensex.

For More. Detail................Click here

 Top Comment : suchita Ambardekar   | 11 03 2009 04:43:37 +0000
How far the fall comes by ...is to be observed....
 
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4 comments on "BSE Sensex Trend Analysis - 2/11/2009"
  Commented by  suchita Ambardekar, Portfolio Manager, Tristate Medical Equipment India Pvt Ltd    | 11 04 2009 07:21:54 +0000
Mathew...

Thanks fr the disucssion...I think all the global markets, especially stock market are interwined...One effect leads to another...In short because of massive technological innovations....we all are connected and wired...Globally....
  Commented by  Mathew Cherian, Research Associate/Analyst, Western Michigan University    | 11 03 2009 17:33:20 +0000
I feel our markets are correlated with International markets. Though American economy was declared out of recession last quarter and 3.6% growth seen this quarter, their Dow though has also gained 70% uptredn there is some sort of slugishness there, may be the reason now. Then it is the news of a down turn that create such short term effects which might in the long run correct itself.
Thanks Suchita for the referal.
  Commented by  Esha Johar, Risk Analyst, Irevna    | 11 03 2009 05:57:13 +0000
Nice article Suchita, it would really be a very interesting thing to see the extent of the coming of fall. Thanks for sharing...
  Commented by  suchita Ambardekar, Portfolio Manager, Tristate Medical Equipment India Pvt Ltd    | 11 03 2009 04:43:37 +0000
Rating : +1 
How far the fall comes by ...is to be observed....
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