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Equity Derivatives Trading

 
Industry : Equity Research/Analytics Functional Area : Valuation
Activity:  2 comments  318 views  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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Do you know that India is now among the most expensive major global markets, based on the price-to-book value ratio (PB ratio)?

The Sensex PB ratio is now at a record high of 6.5, making the Indian benchmark the most richly valued among the global indices on this valuation parameter. The PB ratio is a measure of the value that the stock market is willing to assign to a company, based on the tangible assets on its books.

It is computed by dividing the market price by the book value per share. The PB ratio is the most widely used measure, after the PE multiple, to value stocks.

While the Sensex PB ratio rules at 6.5, data published in Forbes.com in mid-November, reveals that the developed markets in US and Europe trade at PB ratios of between 2.4 and 2.8.

Emerging markets such as Brazil (4.3) and Mexico (3.5) sport PB ratios that are a tad higher than developed markets, but they are still well below Indian levels.

Even the Shanghai Composite Index hovers pretty close to the Sensex, if you go by its PB ratio.The highest valuation among emerging markets is for Morocco, which shows a one-year forward multiple of 30.11. 

Among the developed markets, Slovenia, at a multiple of 31.79, stands out in solitary splendour.

Of course, the high valuation is also a reflection of a high return on equity (RoE). India’s RoE is 19.77, according to the S&P/Citigroup numbers, well above China’s 15.31. But then, several other countries, including South Africa and the UK, have higher RoEs but much lower valuations.

Is the case against India on the ground of high valuations an open and shut one? Not really. If you took the valuation ratios as on 31 January 2007, India’s one-year forward PE, at 20.07, was higher than all other markets except for Morocco among emerging markets and except Slovenia and Luxembourg, among developed markets.

 Yet that didn’t stop the Indian market from giving one of the highest returns among all markets last year. In local currency terms, the S&P/Citigroup index for India delivered a 59.4% return in 2007, much higher than the supposedly “cheaper” markets.

 
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2 comments on "Is India a high valuation market?"
  Commented by  varsha mishra, Analytical Chemistry Manager, rfrac    | 10 23 2008 15:26:55 +0000
good one
  Commented by  Darpan Sinha, Solution Architect, Fujitsu Consulting India Pvt Ltd    | 09 05 2008 03:09:30 +0000
Good One
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