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Industry : Equity Research/Analytics Functional Area : India
Activity:  2 comments  309 views  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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By the end of the Sunday evening we are all riding on the horse of Monday's speculation about where the Nifty and The BSE sensex will head in this week. Junks of coffee with nonstop phone calls among the close circuit of the brokers and traders community are the routine works of Sunday evenings. We speculate catch fancy expectations of which some gets the clinch where majority end up with a hole in pocket. Nifty is moving around the range of 4900-5300 for the last couple of months followed with certain abnormal hiccups due to the European debts crisis followed with abnormal global imbalances. No predication can be made regarding these hiccups and abnormal days, unless you are gifted with a Magical power to foresee the future.

I am not here to lecture you up or add some magical foresights but in a plain vanilla way Nifty will touch 5800-6000 in Diwali .Shocked, mouth watering and don't believe attitude are the reactions might have been shown by after reading this. The first two are the worst and the last one is the best reaction. Since don't believe will not make you land up in a situation where you pocket gets a hole.

The Nifty have the tendency to catch up 5800-6000 in Diwali due..................
 
2 comments on "NIFTY 5800-6000 VERY SOON"
  Commented by  MANISH DAMANI, AUDIT, ACCOUNTS , TAXATION, STOCK RESEARCH, AMITA ASSOCIATES    | 06 30 2010 16:42:24 +0000
IF WE SEE THE WEEKLY CHART OF THE NIFTY THEN  ONE CAN OBSERVE THAT BY JOINING THE BOTTOM OF 03/11/2009, 08/02/2010, 25/05/2010 WE ARE OBEYING A REGRESSION CHANNEL AND WE IN THE UPPER END OF REGRESSION CHANNEL.IF THE RALLY CONTIUES 5400 A MAJOR RESISTAND AND THEN WE SEE A GOOD RESISTANCE NEAR 5550 LEVEL (APPX.)AND AFTER THAT 5750. AS WE ALL KNOW ANY EQUITY MARKET REQUIRES THREE CONDITION TO GIVE RALLY- LOW INTEREST RATE , LOW INFLATION AND HIGH GROWTH. BUT TWO SITUATION INTEREST RATE AND INFLATION IN MY OPINION IS NOT STILL PROPERLY FACTORED IN. EVEN GLOBAL CUES FROM WHICH WE ARE NOT STILL DECOUPLE IS ALSO A BIG CONCERN LIKE CHINA BUBBLE, EURO DEBT PROBLEM. SO IF INFLATION NOT CONTROLLED THEN RBI IS BOUND TO HIKE RATES WHICH CAN HIT MARKET AND MARKET MAY GO AGAIN TO LOWER PART OF RANGE.YES TILL THE RANGE NOT BREAK WE CANNOT SEE NIFTY BELOW 4900 NEXT LOWER RANGE IF DOWN SIDE STARTED. IF RANGE BREAK THEN FURTHER DOWN SIDE POSSIBLE. FOR 5900-6000 LEVEL UPPER NEW RANGE 5550 SHOULD BE  BROKEN. AS PER DAILY CHART MARKET IS OVERBOUGT AS MANY  IMPORTANT INDICATOR SHOWS VOLATILITY IS HIGH IN MARKET AND MIGHT BE CORRECTION POSSIBLE WHICH CAN NIFTY UPTO 5214 (FIBONACCI OF LAST LEG) 1ST SUPPORT WHERE IT HAS ALREADY BOUNCE TODAY IF THAT BREAKS THEN WE CAN SEE LEVEL OF 5170 50 DAYS EMA SUPPORT AS PER CURRENT EMA, BELOW IT 5165(FIBONACCI OF LAST LEG),5145 ( FIBONACCI OF ENTIRE RALLY),5145, 5120. 5075, 5000 ARE IMPORTANT SUPPORT.
THERE IS NO DOUBT ABOUT INDIA STORY BUT IT WILL TAKE LITTLE TIME TO SUSTAIN AT HIGHER LEVEL AND AFTER MORE THAN 100 % APPRECIATION A CORRECTION UPTO 4200 IS REQD BEFORE MOVING AHEAD. I AM NOT SAYING THAT  NIFTY UPTO THAT LEVEL REACH AT THIS STAGE OF TIME. BUT UPTO 5150/5170 QUITE POSSIBLE IN NEAR TERM.
STUDY TILL TODAY.
  Commented by  Vipin Bhasin, Private Equity/Hedge Fund/VC-Manager, Indian Investment Co.    | 06 29 2010 17:35:47 +0000
Agree with Mr. Sen, Indian economy and market showing good strength from couple of days. Although the 5400 level of NIFTY is crucial for market in near term after this we have strong resistance. Maybe as per our expectation we will reach at 5900 level soon...
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