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Activity:  2 comments  68 views  last activity : 08 12 2011 08:48:31 +0000
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Profound nature of  Indian Interest Rates.

Indian interest rates are going up. Bluechip companies finds it difficult to raise funds for operations envisioned by Tatas pledging 65% and McDowells 95% of Promoters stocks to Creditors. All signs point to Economy slipping towards stagnancy in the near future. Investors shy away from the Stock Market for the same reason and we don’t have a comprehensive Bond market to say anything what is going on there. Inflation is given the responsibility for this situation where the Corporates and the Economy in general find the going tougher than planned. When the top notch bluechip companies are in this state one can imagine what must be the state of smaller companies and even the Cosntruction industry which is very interest sensitive which employes most of the poor people of India and those who seems to have no representation per se.

To contain inflation this interest rate policy seems rational. Also, the general manufacturing secotor of the economy need not have worried but for their avocation with debt. They could have generated funds from the Primary market which they didn’t for the reason that our Business schools don’t teach the decisions makers ‘Economic Finance’ for the reason that the environment is not facilitated by the Politics of the nation of a much advanced economy and processes. If they train their students to the modern financial theories then they will see their wards begging in the streets rather making their day possible doing what is being done across the nation which is ‘Accounting Finance’ which they resort to without updating curriculum as world progresses towards better advancement in the field of Finance

 Top Comment : Srinivas suravajhala   | 08 12 2011 08:48:31 +0000
Mr. Cherian beautiful insight. In a bid to contain inflationary trends, India’s central bank raised interest rates once again. 9% growth rate as claimed by the Govt. is not at all achievable in the present scenario. So, the policy makers are now sending signals opposite to their maintained stand till date. The raising prices of essential commodities and others is the major concern. Govt. is unable to find a solution to it. I dont believe the only monetary policies are enough to find solution to this problem. There are many structural inefficiencies in the system. To bring down the inflation, these structural inefficiencies have to be plugged. For this a whole gamut of administrative measures have to be taken up. But, the Govt. seems have no plans to plug these structural inefficiencies and looking at the RBI to control the inflation. FM needs some constructive strategies, but he wants a magic wand. Who is going to help him.
 
2 comments on "Profound nature of Indian Interest Rates and consequences"
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Mr. Cherian beautiful insight.  In a bid to contain inflationary trends, India’s central bank raised interest rates once again. 9% growth rate as claimed by the Govt. is not at all achievable in the present scenario.  So, the policy makers are now sending signals opposite to their maintained stand till date. The raising prices of essential commodities and others is the major concern.  Govt. is unable to find a solution to it. 

I dont believe the only monetary policies are enough to find solution to this problem. There are many structural inefficiencies in the system. To bring down the inflation, these structural inefficiencies have to be plugged. For this a whole gamut of administrative measures have to be taken up. But, the Govt. seems have no plans to plug these structural inefficiencies and looking at the RBI to control the inflation.  FM needs some constructive strategies, but he wants a magic wand. Who is going to help him.

  Commented by  S. Muralidharan, Head, Project Planning/Strategy, Knowledge Foundation    | 08 12 2011 04:20:15 +0000
Good insight Mr. Cherian.  Indian interest rates are expected go up further by 25 basis points taking the rate upto 8% and will remain stagnant until December 2012.  Though the policy makers have agreed to live with lower growth rate which was caused due to marked slowdown in investments and consumption pattern, but they still believe that macro economic fundamentals of the economy are strong and growth will pick up.  Another pointer to be taken here is rising crude oil prices and food inflation have been the major drivers of inflation in India with the rise in wholesale price index.

You have correctly pointed out that handling such volatile situation is not in the hands of educationists, and no straight theory or quoting past practices will come handy in such a situation to teach the aspiring students.  Within a short period of taking any assignment, after college, they would either go bankrupt or fend for themselves begging in streets.     
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