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Activity:
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last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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Bond yields are depicted on a curve called the Yield curve. It is an upward sloping curve in normal time of the economy. The following table gives the yield curve on a typical time of the economy.
Period Yield
3months 3%
6months 6.5%
1 year 12% and so on till 35 years
Now we see an investment opportunity in the 6 months bond. If one buys the 6 months bonds in 3 months time the 6 months bond will drop in yield to 6% and the price of the bond will go up giving the Investor a gain. This is called ‘riding the Yield curve” by so doing one can lock into the gains which is the price appreciation due to drop in yield of the bond.
This happens from the general fact that ‘short term rates are a good indication of the long term rates’
This can be driven throughout the yield curve wherever there is a discrepancy.
A yield curve is usually upward sloping but if at any point in time it inverts to downward sloping meaning the short term rates higher than long term rates then we get the ‘inverted yield curve’ phenomenon which is a leading indicator of an imminent Recession, where one see the expectations of the market shifting.
Yield of a bond = current yield + capital gains yield
Current yield = interest on bond/ Price of the bond..
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