| Topic : Credit risk management in banks |
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Activity:
Question posted: 09 23 2009 12:40:41 +0000,
1 answers, 2038 views, last activity
07 06 2010 20:18:08 +0000
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Suppose I have portfoilo of 4 borrowers. I have borrowerwise EAD (Exposure at default), LGD (Loss Given Default) and (PD) Probability of Default.
Suppose the said figures for the first borrower are as given below -
EAD = 100,000, LGD = 0.45 and PD = 0.10. Then the loss is 100,000 * 0.45 = 45,000.
Expected loss for this borrower is EL = 45,000*0.10 = 4,500 and the unexpected loss is (loss^2)*PD - (EL)^2 = 13,500.
The problem is how do I calculate the unexpected loss for the portfolio assuming the borrowers are not independent i.e. correlation exists between them? Also, how do I calculate the regular Value at risk and the diversified VaR at 99%?
Suppose my data is as given below :
Borrower EAD LGD PD
Borrower 1 100,000 0.45 0.10
Borrower 2 150,000 0.45 0.10
Borrower 3 300,000 0.45 0.05
Borrower 4 500,000 0.45 0.01
Correlation matrix
Borrow 1 Borrow 2 Borrow 3 Borrow 4
Borrower 1 1 0.011 -0.029 0.047
Borrower 2 0.011 1 0.065 0.038
Borrower 3 -0.029 0.065 1 0.011
Borrower 4 0.047 0.038 0.011 1
Please guide me?
Thanking in advance
Maithreyi
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