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Topic : Credit risk management in banks
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Industry : Banking
Activity: Question posted: 09 23 2009 12:40:41 +0000, 1 answers, 2038 views, last activity 07 06 2010 20:18:08 +0000
 
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Suppose I have portfoilo of 4 borrowers. I have borrowerwise EAD (Exposure at default), LGD (Loss Given Default) and (PD) Probability of Default.

Suppose the said figures for the first borrower are as given below -

EAD = 100,000, LGD = 0.45 and PD = 0.10. Then the loss is 100,000 * 0.45 = 45,000.

Expected loss for this borrower is EL = 45,000*0.10 = 4,500 and the unexpected loss is (loss^2)*PD - (EL)^2 = 13,500.

The problem is how do I calculate the unexpected loss for the portfolio assuming the borrowers are not independent i.e. correlation exists between them? Also, how do I calculate the regular Value at risk and the diversified VaR at 99%?


Suppose my data  is as given below :


Borrower           EAD                     LGD                         PD

Borrower 1        100,000               0.45                      0.10

Borrower 2        150,000               0.45                      0.10

Borrower 3        300,000               0.45                      0.05

Borrower 4        500,000               0.45                      0.01


Correlation matrix

                         Borrow 1         Borrow 2       Borrow 3        Borrow 4  

Borrower 1            1            0.011           -0.029           0.047

Borrower 2         0.011            1               0.065           0.038

Borrower 3       -0.029          0.065              1               0.011

Borrower 4        0.047          0.038            0.011               1

 

Please guide me?

Thanking in advance

Maithreyi

 








 

 

 
  Answered by     Mathew Cherian, Research Associate/Analyst, Western Michigan University  | 09 28 2009 09:38:38 +0000
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I do have some postings on Credit risk management which will give you insights on it. Please refer that. It gives a comprehensive idea on Credit risk management.

 
 
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