What is easy - Predicting failure or predicting Success?

PREDICTION OF SUCESS IS ALWAYS  DIFFICULT, IT CAN ONLY BE ACESSED BY A VERY INTELLIGENT ANALYST  HAVING IN DEPTH KNOWLEDGE OF THAT PARTICULAR FIELD.AFTER ALL THIS THERE ARE CERTAIN POINTS SUCH  AS 1. NATURAL CLAMITIY OR DISASTER MAY EFFECT THE SUCESS.

                          2.UNREST IN THE AREA DUE TO ANY UNEXPECTED REASON.

                          3.POITICAL CHANGES CAN ALSO EFFECT THE PROJECT.

I feel pridicting failure is more easier than pridicting success because when you predict success people dont agree with your view but they will always acompany you whnever you are predicting failure... & thats bez converting that success prediction into reality is far more difficult than failure.....

Good Question. Dear Mr. Raghu Kasturi,

Both are equal, especially in the sales field. When you go on Comparing the last year sales figures, present market reaching (suply system) position, competitors activity, pricing of the product, expansion of market out lets etc. takes us towards success. Keeping on mind If we take a little hard work deffinitely figures rise. Every success backed by  hard work. Then only prediction will be fruitful.

On the other hand any one of the above lacked, automatically no prediction is essential, what will be happened. For a successful salesman, his hard work is only prediction. His overall grip on the market, undecreased faith in the product, leads him towards success.

We can predict success if we have the ability to track the project or any work from the beginning. What is the need of the project? Business process and how we are going to add the value to our customer. We should extract these things before we kick off the project. Time management. We should have passion and motivation and should not behave like a school student. We cannot predict on the advance. When everything is on the right track we can say it.

Non of them is pridictable so as to say is easy. But yes if somebody fails others out of sympathy say "did I not told you". In the case of you are struggling they wil give you unsolicited advices and even would want you to hear them and do what they are saying. But if somebody gets success they first become serious than they will say this is the right path one should follow.

Prediting One's Success and Other's Failures is Easier...!!!

Yes I agree that people generally tend to criticize others or remind them that they have told them in advance to not do a particular thing but they never give you credit or appreciate you whole-heartedly when you achieve success.The way I see Success is to set a goal, plan the steps to achieve the goal, implement the plan and finally achieve the goal.
Success to me means satisfaction for whatever I do. If I am at my workplace, positive result gives me the satisfaction.Success means completing a task or assignment in an excellent manner and within the stipulated time.

That's what I think and evaluate success.

Good points. Then why people usually say - "I told you so" only when one fails, but don't say "I told you so" when one succeeds. Is it because, people like to take indirect credit for predicting failure and people feel that there is no more credit to take when one succeeds so they just leave it by saying congratulations.

Assuming that we have well-defined steps into the target, prediction of success and prediction of failure have the same level of easiness. Comparing those steps with the current (or projected) status will simply reveal if we are on the right track or not. In other words, it will be equally easy to predict success or failure.

When embarking on any activity no one predicts it to fail unless you are a constant failure/loser. We all go into a venture expecting and hoping it will be a success.

However, runnaway successes are rare and difficult to predict in advance. If your goal is to have that level of success all you can do is build something that has the potential and hope a little randomness fall your way.