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Topic : Emerging Trends In Telecom Sector
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Industry : Telecom/ISP Functional Area : Growth
Activity:  6 comments  875 views  last activity : 07 06 2010 20:18:04 +0000
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All 500 million mobile users in the country may have to change their phone numbers from January 1, 2010, and adopt a 11-digit cellular number if a DoT proposal is accepted by the industry. But, all leading operators said that it would be ‘next to impossible’ for the country to move to a 11-digit mobile number by January 2010 as this would involve making massive technical changes to both softwares and mobile network configurations, while adding that this process could take up to 12 months.

The DoT has prepared a draft notification in which it wants all mobile users to adopt a 11-digit numbering plan by pre-fixing ‘9’ to their existing cellphone numbers. A DoT official said that the country will eventually have to move to a 11-digit cellular numbers system.

The logic: Under the current 10-digit numbering scheme, only a maximum of one billion mobile numbers can be issued and the mobile connections in the country will cross this mark in the next couple of years. Pre-fixing an additional digit will allow the Indian telecom operators to issue up to 10-billion individual mobile numbers.


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The existing numbering plan that was fixed in 2003 was expected to be in place till 2030. This is because, based on 2003-projections, India was expected to touch 500 million mobile customers only by 2030, but the country has reached this mark 21 years ahead of the projected date. India has been the world’s fastest growing cellular market for the last three years. Thirteen mobile phone firms are jostling for space in the Indian market that most analysts feel can support only 4-5 operators. India is adding an average of 15 million new cellular customers every month.


When contacted, all service providers denied having received any ‘formal’ notification to move to 11-digit mobile numbers from January 2010. “The proposal to migrate to 11-digit numbers from next year has been under discussion for a long time, but the government and telecom companies have not reached any consensus,” a top executive with one of the country’s largest operators said.

“It is impossible to migrate before January 2010 because all telecom networks have to be reconfigured. We also have to change all roaming agreements, both within India as well as with other telcos globally. Termination and interconnection agreements with global operators must also be changed so that incoming calls from abroad are directed to the new numbers and therefore the entire process will take about 10-18 months,” added the chief technological officer of a pan-India operator.

While the country has only about 500 million cellular customers, an industry analyst said that operators have already exhausted about 800 million cellular numbers. “A significant bulk of mobile phone users have changed their mobile operators over the last couple of years and some customers have done multiple changes — this has rendered these mobile numbers useless as most telcos discontinue a number that has been allotted once,” explained an industry executive.

The regulatory head with a telco pointed out that a lot of numbers were wasted in India because it was very cheap to get a new connection here. “There is no reward for refund. Numbers are not treated as a scarce resource. In most countries, governments are a little bit cautious before doling out huge numbers. If we had deposits on numbers, then people would cancel non-used numbers to get that deposit back. About 20% of numbers that have been allotted have not been used,” this executive added.


Do you see Telecom operators going for this 11 digit numbers, as DoT is insisting to go ahead and change by january 2010, and being from a telecom operator company I know its highly impossible to go for such a drastic change in this short span of time. What are your views on this 11 digit number?

 Top Comment : Makrand Bhave   | 12 02 2009 07:43:31 +0000
If the subscriber base is increasing by such humungous proportions....God save us... It is logical to add the extra number and make it 11 digit... Thanks for this info. Good work Radha :)
 
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6 comments on "Soon, your cell phone number may have 11 digits"
no second thoughts, telecos should start migrating

another digit to remember aRRRRGGGG  :(  
Rating : +1 
11 digits .. i guess the telecom provides do recycle the disconnected numbers do they? i think so. can there be any alternative like give a subscriber a code(5digit or 6digit) but register the user with 11 digit (soon to be) at the service provider side. with this kind of approach subscriber will not have to remember 11digits.
  Commented by  anirudh gargi, Software Developer, Nex-G Exuberant Solutions Pvt Ltd    | 12 07 2009 10:21:19 +0000
Rating : +1 
It is very much inevitable as Mr Reddy said. As now the whole system is so much wide-spread and it  needs a immediate solution without much hardware and software change. This adding a digit serves it serves it nicely.
But i feel its a easy solution neglecting the concern to bigger problem of growing subscribers.

I am immensely impressed by Mr Abraham Paul's solution to the problem. Now as the all the forms of communication mediums are merging be it Cellular phones, PSTN , VOIP, Data-Capable handhelds and other multimedia interacting junctions. Its a terrific idea to merge and have a common addressing scheme. Including the protocol in the 'address' that is used along with the standard country codes.



In-fact i have a extension to the whole idea.. it was to have alpha-numeric address scheme to the Phone Numbers just like the internet domain names.

A protocol somewhat like the DNS(Domain name Server) in Internet which convert the alpha-numeric addresses into respective unique identities over the Trunks.


Thanks for reading to the Views.



Anirudh Gargi
  Commented by  Abraham Paul, MD, FCOMNET - Future Groups    | 12 02 2009 19:49:27 +0000
Rating : +2 
My view is that the ITU and other Telecom Standards institutions should seriously think about a futuristic Numbering Plan for Multi media Telecommunication which can be common for all types of Wired and Wireless Networks and services.

In the near future the distinguishing factors between Wired and Wireless networks and systems will vanish. I am sure that the Systems and Networks that provide service for various Home and Mobile telecom devices will be converged into one. 
I also strongly believe that the Network Operation and Service Provision will be segregated in Technology and Business point of view so that large number of Service Providers can commonly share same Network and systems. It is expectd that Number Portability will be fully implemented soon so that Customers under a Service Provider can choose and use any network and carrier at their will. 

Please read my posting "A new Numbering plan for Telecom Multimedia" posted in Toostep.

I have suggested the following Numbering plan  + Cc Sp Ts Cn, where + is the International access code, CC is the Country Code, Sp the Service Providers' code, Ts is the Type of Service (Voice, Data, Video and Multi-Media et.,) and Cn the Customer Number. 
For example an International called subscriber number Sn for a voice call to India will look like + 91 21 1 9876543210. This numbering plan can provide 1 billion numbers for each Service Provider.

In due course there can be discrete number for every service provider across the world so that the International access code + and Country code Cc also could be become part of Sp to make the Called Number (Sn) point to the Service Provider instead of a geographic location anywhere in the world. To take it a step further, it is possible to allocate a discrete Universal Number for each living and to be born Individual which can be used as his Universal ID. Such a numbering plan will belong to the Governments and could be allocated to various Service Providers providing telecom, utility, and banking etc., service.  
I would request the members to read my posting and send comments. In fact I have suggested some such Telecom numbering plan almost 10 years back after attending a "Numbering Plan" summit in Hong Kong. I am sure it will be realized in next ten years.        
  Commented by  SHARATH CHANDAR REDDY, Business Development Manager - Insurance, I T C Ltd    | 12 02 2009 09:36:44 +0000
Rating : +1 
11 digit number is inevitable. so, no debate on that. Moving over to such system obviously needs time, probably we should keep a target date of Jan 2011. Thanks for referring this article.
  Commented by  Makrand Bhave, Marketing & MICE, WIZCRAFT INternational    | 12 02 2009 07:43:31 +0000
Rating : +1 
If the subscriber base is increasing by such humungous proportions....God save us... It is logical to add the extra number and make it 11 digit... Thanks for this info. Good work Radha :)
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